On Monday, the gold market opened with a substantial rally, but it later retreated to challenge the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). Despite this short-term fluctuation, it is crucial to understand that the gold market will remain extremely volatile and susceptible to the impact of the US currency and the US central bank.
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There are several main areas of worry that could present significant obstacles, despite the fact that the market is presently exhibiting indications of upward momentum. The first is the $1900 mark, which has seen heavy selling pressure in the past and still presents a major obstacle. The presence of more bearish patterns nearby suggests that even a break through this level may not be enough to alleviate the situation.
It is also crucial to take into account wider market patterns, such as the present bond market volatility, which is having an impact on gold and other markets. It would be a major breach of important support levels and could result in a large sell-off if gold were to break through the $1800 level.
It is crucial to use prudence when sizing positions in light of the gold market’s present volatility. However, those who have already bought on the 200-day EMA’s rebound may want to consider increasing their holdings. However, I wouldn’t get too aggressive in any one way just yet, as the market is likely to irritate overexposed speculators quite a bit. As a result, when it comes to trading gold in this climate, prudence will always be preferable to bravery.
